Thursday, October 26, 2017

How to spot the market that has stocks which will burn money!

A healthy balance sheet is often the key to spotting good stocks. If return ratios are strong and cash flow robust, that’s icing on the cake.

Balance sheet is a financial statement that captures a company’s assets, liabilities and shareholder equity at a specific point in time.

Successful investors have their own comfort zone in choosing the parameters to judge a stock.
While reading a balance sheet, look at the leverage.

The second important thing to look at on the balance sheet is working capital, which is the cash a business uses for day-to-day operations and is calculated as current assets minus the current liabilities.

Working capital works like a treadmill: you keep running, running, running and you do not go anywhere. Some investors do not like companies that require a lot of it.

A balance sheet is more like an engine of a car; the profit and loss statement is the dashboard.

For that car, cash flow is the fuel.

The speed of a car depends on the power of the engine, which means power of the balance sheet can drive growth of a business over the long term. It is very difficult to grow for companies whose balance sheet and cash flow do not support them.

Out of all the parameters, management is the most important feature of any business.

Any sign of actions where promoter/management has attempted to benefit at the cost of minority shareholders should be the first ‘no go’ sign for investors, irrespective of how good the financial and valuation parameters may look like.

Once satisfied with the financial and management criteria, use a margin of safety framework comprising a customised ratio called the self-sustainable growth rate (SSGR) and free cash flow (FCF) to determine strength in the business and the buying range for the stock.

FCF is the surplus amount a business generates after it paying of its operating expenses and capital expenditure. It shows how efficient a business is in generating cash and if it can pay investors some return after funding its operations and expansions.

“If a company meets all my parameters and is available within my buying range, then start investing in it.
 A lot of businesses look good in terms of growth in the present market condition. I advise investors to stay away from companies which are not achieving good return on capital, as they are like a dead business.

“Those are the businesses that will burn your money.

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